Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Northrop: Euro Hawk Program Not Dead Yet

Defense contractor Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC  ) today clarified the status of a proposed $1.3 billion deal to sell Euro Hawk unmanned aerial vehicles to the German government.

In a telephone interview, Northrop Director of Communications Tim Paynter said media reports describing Germany's cancellation of the contract are inaccurate. Regarding reports that the company refused to share technical data needed by German regulators to approve the drone system for flight in civilian airspace over Germany, Paynter countered that Northrop granted the German government "unlimited access" to more than 4,000 documents.

Additionally, reports of the death of the deal may have been greatly exaggerated. According to Paynter, Northrop has not yet received official notification from the German government that it is canceling the Euro Hawk program. Indeed, Northrop is still "working with the German government ... to define a path forward for the program," and the program is expected to come up for official discussion at a meeting of the Bundestag Defence Committee on June 5.

Euro Hawk is an unarmed surveillance drone derived largely from Northrop's RQ-4 Global Hawk HALE UAS -- an acronym denoting a "high-altitude, long-endurance unmanned aerial system." Based on the Block 20 Global Hawk configuration, the Euro Hawk measures 131 feet wingtip to wingtip, is 48 feet long and 15 feet tall. It flies at altitudes as high as 60,000 feet and can remain airborne longer than 30 hours before needing to refuel.

link

Embraer Lands Potential $8.2 Billion SkyWest Contract

More and more often, when a U.S. airline buys a new airplane, it's Brazil that gets the money.

On Tuesday, this happened again, when Brazilian planemaker Embraer (NYSE: ERJ  ) announced that it has received a firm order from United Continental (NYSE: UAL  ) feeder airline SkyWest (NASDAQ: SKYW  ) for the purchase of E175 aircraft.

Embraer notes that SkyWest may buy a further 60 planes, conditioned on SkyWest's securing "capacity purchase agreements," such as the one it has with United, with other major U.S. airlines. Finally -- and increasing the total potential size of this contract to a level five times the original announcement -- Embraer says SkyWest has optioned a further 100 E175s.

For now, Embraer is putting only the first 40 planes in its backlog. But if all goes well, this contract could be worth $4.1 billion (at list prices) for the first 100 planes, and an additional $4.1 billion for the next 100.

Embraer's E175 jet is a dual-class, 76-seat regional airplane. With more than 150 planes in service already, it is flown by 60 airlines based in 40 countries around the globe.

Today's 3 Best Stocks

It was a mixed day for economic data for the broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) .

Following numerous days where we've had clearly defined reasons to head higher or lower, U.S. retail sales data gave investors a reason to smile. In April, retail sales jumped 0.1% compared to estimates that had called for a contraction of 0.3%. Counting for about 30% of U.S. consumer spending, it's always a good sign when retail sales rise during tax month.

Countering that optimism were ongoing rumors that the Federal Reserve may wind down its bond-buying program sooner than expected. We've seen this back-and-forth game of "Will they or won't they?" for some time now. But with the S&P 500 near an all-time high, the stakes are even higher now if interest rates begin to rise.

Overall, the S&P 500 finished the day fractionally higher by 0.07 points (0.00%) to close at 1,633.77. The move today may have been muted, but the move in the following three stocks was certainly eye-popping.

Shares of chip maker Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) led the pack higher, gaining 5.6% and closing above $4 for the first time since September. The impetus for the move was the announcement that its new Open 3.0 servers were available for purchase and that they reduced enterprise cost of ownership by up to 57%. With PC demand still weak, AMD is forced to expand its target audience to the cloud and into gaming. This new line of servers coupled with its gaming console wins are certainly good news for existing shareholders.

Streaming content king Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX  ) rose 5.4% after noted valued investor Whitney Tilson commented to Yahoo! Finance that "Netflix could be this decade's Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN  ) ." Netflix has certainly found its stride overseas and its focus on streaming instead of DVDs is starting to pay off with quicker-than-expected profits. Unfortunately, valuation still remains a big concern for me, personally, and I still wonder if Netflix has the cash flow capability to compete against Amazon when it comes to content negotiation down the road.

Finally, biotech juggernaut Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB  ) added 4.5% after it announced that the Food and Drug Administration had begun reviewing its experimental hemophilia A treatment, Eloctate. This comes just two months after the FDA also began its review of Alprolix for the treatment of hemophilia B. Both reviews are expected to take 10 months and could signal further growth in Biogen's already-robust pipeline. Given the positive reaction we've witnessed from MS-relapsing drug Tecfidera's sales in just the first few weeks, I'd say Biogen could have even more room to run higher.

Will these streaming profits continue?
The tumultuous performance of Netflix shares since the summer of 2011 has caused headaches for many devoted shareholders. While the company's first-mover status is often viewed as a competitive advantage, the opportunities in streaming media have brought some new, deep-pocketed rivals looking for their piece of a growing pie. Can Netflix fend off this burgeoning competition, and will its international growth aspirations really pay off? These are must-know issues for investors, which is why The Motley Fool has released a premium report on Netflix. Inside, you'll learn about the key opportunities and risks facing the company, as well as reasons to buy or sell the stock. The report includes a full year of updates to cover critical new developments, so make sure to click here and claim a copy today.

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Golf Clap for Hubbell

Hubbell (NYSE: HUBB  ) reported earnings on April 19. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended March 31 (Q1), Hubbell met expectations on revenues and met expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue increased slightly. GAAP earnings per share grew.

Gross margins contracted, operating margins dropped, net margins grew.

Revenue details
Hubbell logged revenue of $740.1 million. The seven analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ predicted a top line of $742.7 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were the same as the prior-year quarter's.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $1.10. The eight earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ forecast $1.10 per share. GAAP EPS of $1.10 for Q1 were 4.8% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.05 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 31.9%, 40 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 13.2%, 90 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 8.9%, 20 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $801.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.32.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $3.19 billion. The average EPS estimate is $5.44.

Investor sentiment

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Hubbell is outperform, with an average price target of $98.57.

If you're interested in companies like Hubbell, you might want to check out the jaw-dropping technology that's about to put 100 million Chinese factory workers out on the street – and the 3 companies that control it. We'll tell you all about them in "The Future is Made in America." Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Hubbell to My Watchlist.

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Easy and Critical Diversification for Your Portfolio

Exchange-traded funds offer a convenient way to invest in sectors or niches that interest you. If you'd like to add some international stocks to your portfolio, the iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock Index ETF  (NYSEMKT: IXUS  )  could save you a lot of trouble. Instead of trying to figure out which companies will perform best, you can use this ETF to invest in lots of them simultaneously.

The basics
ETFs often sport lower expense ratios than their mutual fund cousins. The iShares ETF's expense ratio -- its annual fee -- is a very low 0.16%, and it recently yielded 3.3%. The fund is fairly small, too, so if you're thinking of buying, beware of possibly large spreads between its bid and ask prices. Consider using a limit order if you want to buy in.

This ETF is too new to have a sufficient track record to assess. But as it contains more than 3,000 of the world's biggest companies, we can expect it to generally move in line with the overall world market, though not matching its returns exactly. As with most investments, of course, we can't expect outstanding performances in every quarter or year. Investors with conviction need to wait for their holdings to deliver.

Why international companies?
It's a smart idea to diversify your holdings not only by market size and industry, but also geographically. If the U.S. economy stalls or slides, other economies may still be performing well and could help offset losses in your portfolio. Many of the companies in this ETF are quite large and pay dividends. That should be welcome, as dividends can be quite powerful. Internationally reaped ones can be a little more complicated than domestic ones, though.

More than a handful of international companies had strong performances over the past year. Australia-based Westpac Banking (NYSE: WBK  ) , for example, soared 54% -- and still yields a fat 5.4%. It's been hampered, though, by the slowdown in China, as China uses many commodities produced by Australia. Some worry about a housing slowdown hurting the company, too.

U.K.-based alcoholic-beverage specialist Diageo (NYSE: DEO  ) , meanwhile, jumped 32%, as it invests more in China and introduces is Alexander & James e-commerce website. The company is financially strong and growing both its revenue and dividend, and aiming to turbocharge its growth via emerging markets.

Spain-based Banco Santander (NYSE: SAN  ) gained 12% and recently yielded 9.3% as well. It has been hurt by troubles in Europe, but the company actually does a lot of its business in Latin America, where it benefits from faster economic growth rates, such as Brazil's. It may be a while before all its operating regions are healthy, but while investors wait, they can collect a hefty payout -- which, even if halved, would still be significant. Some value-oriented investors see it as undervalued as well.

Other companies didn't do as well last year but could see their fortunes change in the coming years. BP (NYSE: BP  ) was roughly flat and yields 5.2%. The price that BP will ultimately pay for the Deepwater Horizon debacle is finally clearer, with the company paying $4 billion in criminal penalties. But it's now in civil court, with its ultimate costs still unknown. The company's recently reported quarter featured profits down 19%, largely because of lower production due to asset sales, but it has been profiting handsomely from investments in Russia. Some see the stock as attractive now, with its performance expected to improve and its plans to buy back up to $8 billion worth of stock. It still carries significant debt, though.

The big picture
A well-chosen ETF can grant you instant diversification across any industry or group of companies -- and make investing in and profiting from it that much easier.

To learn more about a few ETFs that have great promise for delivering profits to shareholders in a recovering global economy, check out The Motley Fool's special free report "3 ETFs Set to Soar During the Recovery." Just click here to access it now.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Mortgage Rates Continue Downward Slide

Mortgage Rates Jae C. Hong/AP WASHINGTON -- Average U.S. mortgage rates fell for the third straight week, making it more affordable to borrow to buy a home. Mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday that the nationwide average for a 30-year loan fell to 4.12 percent from 4.19 percent last week. The average for a 15-year mortgage, a popular choice for people who are refinancing, also declined to 3.3 percent from 3.36 percent. The 30-year rate is down from 4.53 percent at the start of the year. Rates have fallen even though the Federal Reserve appears set at the end of this month to end its monthly bond purchases, which are intended to keep long-term borrowing rates low. Yet Fed officials have indicated that they will continue to hold shorter-term rates at near-zero levels until there are signs of rising inflation. Fed actions often influence the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which affects mortgage rates. The 10-year note was trading at 2.32 percent at midday Thursday, down sharply from 2.41 percent a week earlier. Mortgage rates are falling as the housing market has cooled off. Average price growth has slowed, rising just 6.4 percent in August compared with a year ago, according to real estate data provider CoreLogic (CLGX). That's down from annual average gains of as much as 12 percent toward the end of last year. Similarly, sales of existing homes also declined in August. Fewer investors bought properties, and first-time buyers have yet to return to the market, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales of new homes shot up in August, yet it remains below historic averages, according to Commerce Department data.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

Why You Should Avoid Most Bond Index Funds

There's a lot to like about index funds. Over the long term, stock index funds have beaten about two-thirds of actively managed funds -- largely because index funds generally charge much less. But bond index funds are a different story. Indeed, Vanguard Total Bond Market (VBMFX), with assets of $118 billion, has lagged slightly more than half of actively managed funds in its category over the past 15 years despite charging much less than the average taxable bond fund. Over the past five years, the fund trails 81% of active funds.

SEE ALSO: What's Driving the Boom in Bonds

Why? The biggest factor is the enormous amount of government debt. Most stock indexes weight securities by their market value (share price times number of shares outstanding). An example: Apple (AAPL) has some 6 billion shares outstanding and recently traded at $95.97. Multiply the two numbers and you get its market value of $579 billion. (All prices and returns in this article are through July 7.) Apple has the highest market capitalization of any U.S. company, so it accounts for 3.3% of Standard & Poor's 500-stock index.

A company's stock market value is influenced slightly by how many shares it issues. But the much bigger factor is how popular the stock is with investors. Since going public in 1980, Apple has climbed nearly 200-fold.

Bonds are different. Yes, they rise and fall in price, but not nearly as much as stocks do. The price of an investment-grade bond typically doesn't deviate much from the price on the day it was issued. That means the most important factor in its market value, and thus its weighting in an index fund, is the size of a particular issue.

And herein lies the rub: The federal government is $17 trillion–plus in debt. No U.S. company -- or companies in aggregate, for that matter -- has issued anywhere near $17 trillion worth of bonds.

The Vanguard fund, which tracks Barclay's U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted index, has 65% of its assets in U.S. government debt. The biggest share of that is in Treasury securities, but the fund also has 21% in government- backed mortgage securities. (The float-adjusted index excludes bonds held by the Federal Reserve, which has been trying to depress bond yields and other interest rates through its massive government-bond purchases.)

So when you buy the Vanguard index fund or a similar fund sponsored by another firm, you're investing 70% of your money in government debt. That's a giant allocation -- way too much, in my view.

Even Vanguard founder Jack Bogle, who practically invented index funds, says 70% in U.S. government bonds is too much. He's proposed that the index be reworked to increase its exposure to corporate bonds.

One caveat: Because bond index funds own so much U.S. government debt, where there is little risk of default, these funds should hold up well in financial meltdowns. For instance, in 2008, the Vanguard index fund returned 5.1%, beating its peers -- funds that invest mainly in taxable investment-grade, intermediate-term bonds -- by an average of 9.8 percentage points.

The same government-debt bugaboo holds for foreign and global bond index funds, says Sarah Bush, a Morningstar analyst. Vanguard Total International Bond Index (VTIBX) has 81% of its assets in foreign-government bonds, topped by a 22% weighting in Japanese government securities, whose 10-year bond yields about 0.6%. Her advice on bond funds: "I lean toward actively managed and low-cost funds."

What to do? Following are three options -- from my favorite to least favorite.

The first strategy is outlined in The Four Best Bond Funds to Own Now, which recommends minimizing the risk of rising bond yields (and their accompanying falling prices).

Second strategy: Among more-conventional bond funds, Fidelity Total Bond (FTBFX) is a solid choice. Over the past five years, the fund, a member of the Kiplinger 25, returned an annualized 6.7% -- 2.0 percentage points per year more than Barclay's U.S. Aggregate Bond index. The fund's average credit quality is triple-B. If interest rates rise by one percentage point, figure on the fund losing about 5% of its value. (Bond prices move in the opposite direction of rates.) Expenses are 0.45% annually.

Third strategy: If you're a dyed-in-the-wool indexer, focus on funds that own high-quality corporate bonds. Vanguard Intermediate-Term Investment Grade (VFICX) has only about 6% of its assets in government bonds. Almost all the rest is invested in corporate bonds. Because the bonds are all high-quality, the fund steers away from overly indebted companies. Over the past ten years, the fund, which charges just 0.20%, returned an annualized 5.8% -- putting it ahead of only half of its peers. Be aware, too, that the fund has about 70% of its assets in bonds issued by industrial and financials companies, which tend to rise and fall with the economic cycle.

Steve Goldberg is an investment adviser in the Washington, D.C., area.



Monday, March 16, 2015

VMware Is a Solid Play to Benefit From Growth in the Cloud

Shares of VMware (VMW), the virtualization infrastructure provider increased more than 20% this year thanks to several catalysts enjoyed by the company. In addition, the wide customer base of VMware's parent EMC's (EMC) and growing suite of solutions is also positive indicator for VMware investors who can expect the company's outperformance to continue. Going forward, VMware should continue to perform robustly with the continued growth in data consumption across the globe and growth of virtualization.

Growth areas

VMware is very well positioned to allow its customers to transition to the cloud. It allows IT teams to release resources from their client-server environments, and build the mobile cloud infrastructure to help them drive their businesses with its portfolio of solutions that range from the desktop, to the data center, to the cloud going forward.

Its customers have great confidence in its ability to help them address IT requirements of both today and tomorrow as indicated by a robust performance in the fourth quarter and in 2013. VMware targets on three strategic priorities, and is executing well to accelerate growth and deliver in the long run.

There's strong acceptance for SDDC (Software Defined Data Center) of VMware. NSX which is VMware's network virtualization platform is being adopted by Global brands such as McKesson (MCK), Starbucks (SBUX), Medtronic (MDT), Best Buy (BBY), and China Telecom (CHA) to make their networks more agile and efficient.

IT management is an important component of SDDC, and it is growing quickly and also gaining share. The new cloud management capabilities added to the portfolio of VMware is allowing IT teams to move at a faster pace to support the requirements.

The solid performance of VMware is driven by the launch of vCloud Hybrid Service in May last year, followed by general availability in the U.S. in September and beta availability in the U.K. in December. The hybrid cloud solutions of the company are received positively by the customers.

Key acquisitions and other strategies

VMware recently entered into an agreement to acquire AirWatch, a provider of enterprise global management and security solutions. This acquisition would improve VMware's end user computing group. Moreover, VMware's long-term growth will increase significantly by delivering a complete and proven enterprise-class solution for empowering the mobile workforce with the addition of AirWatch.

Additionally, VMware became a key provider of desktop as a service (DaaS) solutions the acquisition of Desktone. There are positive result of this acquisition, with a rapid growth in partner community, including tier one service providers, and a robust pipeline of customers modernizing and shifting their desktop infrastructure to the cloud.

VMware is witnessing good traction and revenue growth with its solutions allowing customers to minimize their costs for their existing IT environments, along with building out the mobile cloud infrastructure to power their businesses in the future. This can be seen from the fact that VMware's total bookings in Q4 in the EMEA region increased in double-digits.

VMware also furthered its strategic relationship with customers. It enhanced its ability to sell more products, and expanded its portfolio, leading to increased demand for NSX and vCloud hybrid service coupled with robust demand for vCloud Suites, management, automation, and EUC products.

An excellent performance of VMware is due to the vCloud Suite and vSphere with operations management which should continue in the future. VMware's fastest-growing product groups include Management and automation. The license bookings growth of over 40% last year was mainly driven by the Cloud management and automation. The path to the software defined data center is believed to go through management and automation, according to VMware and is expected to continue to drive its growth in 2014 and beyond.

VMware seems expensive looking at the trailing P/E above, but its forward P/E ratio of 25.94 indicates healthy growth in earnings for the future. Both, quarterly revenue and quarterly earnings growth are quite impressive, and the excellent forecast for the next five years signifies that investors can expect robust long – term returns from the stock.

Conclusion

VMware has recorded impressive growth this year and is expected to continue the same in the future as well. The growth in software defined networks and hybrid cloud has enabled VMware to outperform and its suite of product offerings should ensure it to celebrate good times going forward. Further, it has reported impressive earnings growth so far and the projection for the future also seems to be quite positive. Therefore, investors should definitely invest into VMware to benefit from the growth in cloud and virtualization.

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Apple, Inc. to Launch New, Cheaper iMac Models Next Week?

While Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) Worldwide Developers Conference earlier this month was void of any new hardware, Apple fans may get a slight "fix" next week. French site MacGeneration (via MacRumors) is reporting that Apple is planning to update its iMac line next week with faster processors and lower prices.

iMac. Image source: Apple.

The new iMacs
The refresh is likely to be minor, with the key difference likely being upgraded configurations for the desktop computer's processor. This is no surprise; In the past, Apple's iMac updates are often driven by availability of new processors. And recently launched Intel processors appear to be a good fit.

MacRumors shared details on what it is expecting from Apple:

Like the MacBook Air refresh, Apple may be planning to increase the processor speed of at least some configurations by 100 MHz by using a number of recently launched processors, including the 3.3 GHZ i5-4690, the 3.5 GHz i5-4690, and 3.6 GHz i7-4790 for the 27-inch model as well as the 3.0 GHz i5-4590S and 3.2 GHz i5-4790S for the 21.5-inch model. It is also possible that Apple will cut the price of the standard iMac configurations to go along with these minor spec bumps. 

While the processors may be the biggest predicted change to the hardware, it will be the price cuts that will likely receive the most attention. The reliable Ming-Chi Kuo, analyst of KGI Securities, has been predicting since last year that the company would launch a lower-cost iMac.

Why would Apple launch lower-cost iMacs? Kuo reasons that it would help Apple address growth opportunities in foreign markets. More specifically, he predicted in April that it could boost iMac sales by 23%. Apple's envious average selling price for its Mac business, which more than doubles the global average ASP for PCs, combined with Mac sales momentum that has outpaced the overall market in 30 of the last 31 quarters, give Apple plenty of wiggle room to make such a move.

iMac. Image source: Apple.

Sustaining growth
While Apple doesn't break down its Mac business by desktop and laptops, 23% growth in iMacs in 2014 would undoubtedly be a meaningful driver for the segment. In the company's most recent quarter, the business performed better than the overall PC market again, but the growth is relatively slow compared with Apple's largest segment: iPhones. Unit Mac sales were up 5% and revenue was up just 1%, year over year. A lower-cost iMac could help Apple sustain year-over-year revenue growth a bit longer.

But will incremental Mac business growth make a difference for Apple investors? Hardly. The segment accounts for just 12% of the company's revenue and probably an even smaller percentage of operating income. It's iPhones and iPads, which together account for about 74% of Apple's revenue, that are driving the majority of Apple's business.

Leaked: Apple's next smart device (warning -- it may shock you)
Apple recently recruited a secret-development "dream team" to guarantee that its newest smart device was kept hidden from the public for as long as possible. But the secret is out, and some early viewers are even claiming that its everyday impact could trump the iPod, iPhone, and the iPad. In fact, ABI Research predicts that 485 million of these devices will be sold per year. But one small company makes this gadget possible. And its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early in-the-know investors. To be one of them, and to see Apple's newest smart gizmo, just click here!

Sunday, March 15, 2015

Allergies Got You Down? New Treatments May Help

New Allergy Treatments Stallergenes/APOralair, a grass pollen tablet, is among a new generation of allergy treatments. TRENTON, N.J. -- For decades, seasonal allergy sufferers had two therapy options to ease the misery of hay fever. They could swallow pills or squirt nasal sprays every day for brief reprieves from the sneezing and itchy eyes. Or they could get allergy shots for years to gradually reduce their immune system's over-reaction. Now patients can try another type of therapy to train their immune system, new once-a-day tablets that dissolve quickly under the tongue and steadily raise tolerance to grass or ragweed pollen, much like the shots. "It's been several decades since the last big breakthrough," Cleveland Clinic allergy specialist Dr. Rachel Szekely said. The downside: The pills must be started a few months before the grass or ragweed pollen season. That means it's too late for people with grass allergies, but the time is now for ragweed allergy sufferers. The Food and Drug Administration in April approved two tablets from Merck, Grastek for grass pollen and Ragwitek for ragweed, plus a grass pollen tablet called Oralair from Stallergenes. The tablets could become popular with people who dislike pills that can make them drowsy or don't provide enough relief. They'll likely appeal even more to patients with severe allergies who fear needles or can't make frequent trips to the allergist, key reasons that only about 5 percent of U.S. patients who would benefit from allergy shots get them. Meanwhile, new treatments for other types of allergies, including to peanuts and eggs, are in various stages of testing and could turn out to be big advances. Drugmaker Merck & Co. (MRK) has a tablet for house dust mite allergies in final patient testing that could hit the market in two or three years, and it's considering other therapies. France's Stallergenes is testing a tablet for birch tree allergies and, with partner Shionogi & Co. in Japan, tablets for allergies to dust mites and Japanese cedar pollen. Britain's Circassia has a cat allergy treatment in final testing and six others in earlier testing. A handful of companies also are looking at possible new ways to administer immunotherapy, including drops under the tongue, capsules and skin patches, said Fort Lauderdale, Florida, allergist Dr. Linda Cox, former president of the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology. The new tablets aren't right for everyone, particularly patients with allergies to multiple substances, Szekely cautioned. That was the case with one of her patients, 10-year-old Samantha Marshall of Mentor, Ohio, who has been getting allergy shots since last fall. "She's not loving them," said her mother, Rachel, who recently asked Szekely about switching to the tablets. Szekely explained that shots are more effective because Rachel is also allergic to weeds and dust mites, and the shots she receives are a customized mix of extracts to all those substances. The tablets are also pricey: Merck, based in Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, is charging about $8.25 a daily tablet and Stallergenes about $10. Insurers are expected to cover most of the cost, as they usually do with allergy shots. Those generally cost only $15 to $25 a visit without insurance, because they're given by a nurse. Allergy tablets are less likely to trigger a dangerous allergic reaction than shots, which have been used for a century, Cox said. In Merck's testing, about 5 percent of patients experienced tingling, itching or swelling in the mouth or tongue, said Dr. Sean Curtis, Merck's head of respiratory and immunology research. Less than 1 percent had serious reactions, nearly all after the first dose. Longtime hay fever sufferer Kim Steen of Sidman, Pennsylvania, participated in one of Merck's studies last year. "After the second, maybe third week, I started noticing a difference in the symptoms," said the 41-year-old contracts administrator. "It was pretty significant, not feeling like you have a cold all the time." Prevalence of hay fever in the U.S. has declined slightly since 2000, according to National Center for Health Statistics data. In 2012, about 17.6 million adults, or 7.5 percent, reported having hay fever, as did about 6.6 million children, or 9 percent. Millions more don't see a doctor and get by with nonprescription medicines like Benadryl or Claritin. Treatment can be tricky because of body chemistry differences and the complexity of the immune system, which is still poorly understood. "You can't just have one size fits all," Szekely said. For people with mild hay fever, inexpensive pills that suppress immune chemicals called histamines work well. Allegra, Benadryl, Claritin and Zyrtec are available without prescription, often competing with store brands. Other patients fare better on prescription pills or nasal sprays. But for patients with severe allergies, those aren't enough. They suffer -- though hardly in silence -- or try allergy shots. Rarely, the shots cause systemic allergic reactions, from hives and itching to dangerous airway narrowing, because small amounts of allergen circulate in the bloodstream. That's why patients must be observed by a nurse for a half-hour after each shot. With the new tablets, as they dissolve, the grass extract inside drains into lymph nodes in the neck, which produce protective antibodies against the effects of pollen that's inhaled or gets in the mouth. Since the extract is unlikely to enter their blood, patients need only be watched the first time, then can take the pills at home. Typically, patients get allergy shots of gradually increasing dosage two or three times a week initially, then once a week for up to nine months, then monthly. After three years, at least two-thirds have minimal symptoms, while most of the rest have reduced symptoms. With the tablets, patients start at the top dose, at least three months before allergy season, and continue through the season or even year-round. The grass pollen tablets aren't likely to take off until next spring, although Stallergenes' U.S. marketing partner, Greer Laboratories of Lenoir, North Carolina, made Oralair available and began promoting it to allergy specialists in May. Merck has followed study participants through three years of treatment and then two years after that, when patients still reported significantly reduced symptoms. But Cox, the Florida allergist, expects that benefit to last at least eight years after treatment ends, nearly as long as with allergy shots. It won't be clear whether the tablets will be a hit with patients or big moneymakers for their manufacturers until next spring, when patients and more doctors will be familiar with them.

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Are U.S. Stock Markets Rigged? Author Says, 'Yes'

Market Frenzy Analysis Richard Drew/AP NEW YORK -- The U.S. stock market is rigged in favor of high-speed electronic trading firms, which use their advantages to extract billions from investors, according to Michael Lewis, author of a new book on the topic, "Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt." High-frequency trading is a practice carried out by many banks and proprietary trading firms using sophisticated computer programs to send gobs of orders into the market, executing a small portion of them when opportunities arise to capitalize on price imbalances, or to make markets. HFT makes up more than half of all U.S. trading volume. The trading methods and technology that make HFT possible are all legal, and the stock exchanges HFT firms trade on are highly regulated. But Lewis said these firms are using their speed advantage to profit at the expense of other market participants to the tune of tens of billions of dollars. "They are able to identify your desire to buy shares in Microsoft (MSFT) and buy them in front of you and sell them back to you at a higher price," Lewis, whose book is available Monday, said Sunday on the "60 Minutes" television program. "This speed advantage that the faster traders have is milliseconds, some of it is fractions of milliseconds," said Lewis, whose books include "The Big Short" and "Moneyball." Those milliseconds can be valuable, making it possible to send around 10,000 orders in the blink of an eye. Darting in and out of trades, HFT firms make just fractions of a penny per trade, but the sheer speed and volume of their trading activity allows those that are successful to make significant profits. Proponents of HFT argue that the presence of such firms makes it easier for all market participants to find buyers and sellers for their trades, and that the speed at which HFT firms can detect and take advantage of pricing imbalances between different markets and assets leads to smaller bid-ask spreads. But Brad Katsuyama, former head trader in New York for the Royal Bank of Canada and a major figure in Lewis's book, said he was finding that when he would send a large stock order to the market, it would only be partially filled, and then he would have to pay a higher price for the rest of the order. With the help of new hire Ronan Ryan, Katsuyama realized that his orders traveled along fiber optic lines and hit the closest exchange first, where high frequency traders would get a glimpse, and then use their speed advantage to beat him to the other 12 U.S. public exchanges and 45 private trading venues. HFT algorithms could then buy the shares Katsuyama wanted, and then sell them to him at a slightly higher price. Katsuyama and Ryan created a system in which RBC would send its orders first to the exchange that was the furthest away, and last to the exchange that was closest, with the goal of arriving at all places nearly simultaneously, cutting out HFT. "Essentially, our fill rates went to 100 percent. We couldn't believe it when we actually figured it out," Katsuyama told "60 Minutes." Katsuyama said he decided to start a new trading platform, called IEX, for the Investors' Exchange, employing similar tactics to those he used at RBC. "It almost felt like a sense of obligation to say we found a problem that is affecting millions and millions of people -- people are blindly losing money they didn't even know they were entitled to. It's a hole in the bottom of the bucket," he said. IEX has attracted the investment of David Einhorn, the billionaire owner of hedge fund Greenlight Capital, and an endorsement from Goldman Sachs (GS). The investors in IEX are fund companies and individuals, not banks. "We are selling trust, we are selling transparency, and to think that trust is actually a differentiator in a service business, is actually a crazy thought, right?" said Katsuyama. Earlier this month, New York state's Attorney General Eric Schneiderman said he believes U.S. stock exchanges and other platforms provide HFT firms with unfair advantages. Exchanges allow trading firms to place computer servers inside the exchange's data centers so that the firms can see the data as soon as possible. The practice, called co-location, is regulated and available to anyone who wants to pay for it. Schneiderman has begun meeting with the U.S. exchanges, which include IntercontinentalExchange Group's (ICE) New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq OMX Group's (NDAQ) main bourse, and four platforms run by BATS Global Markets, on possible reforms, a source close to the situation told Reuters. A ban on HFT is unlikely, as U.S. regulators would be loath to put policies in place that could lead to a less liquid market, Robert Greifeld, chief executive officer of Nasdaq, said Thursday.

Sunday, March 8, 2015

Electronic Arts founder Hawkins: New iPad app w…

Trip Hawkins assembled the team that got millions of players hooked on the Madden NFL video game franchise. Now, more than 20 years later, he is focused on your kids: He wants to teach them how to be better people.

Founder of the seminal video game studio Electronic Arts, Hawkins now co-leads If You Can, a small group of developers and educators working to bring a subscription-based iPad adventure game to life. Based on the concept of "emotional intelligence," made popular in the mid-1990s by journalist and author Daniel Goleman, the new game is called simply IF…

Hawkins says the game will debut at the end of January and be aimed at kids ages 6 to 12. The first chapter will be free to play, but after that he hopes to entice parents to sign up for a monthly subscription.

Goleman's best-selling 1995 book Emotional Intelligence popularized the idea that a child's ability to control his or her impulses, delay gratification, persist in the face of setbacks and generally be a more empathetic person could be bigger factors in his or her success than raw intelligence. More recently, educators — including the influential KIPP charter schools — have focused much of their college-completion efforts on kids' ability to show "grit" in everyday life.

Hawkins, a father of four kids aged 9 to 20, says the lessons are valuable, but that teaching them in a classroom isn't so easy. And he doesn't expect to see parents asking their kids to study the concepts after school.

"You have to meet people where they're at," he says. "Where are our kids right now? They've got their fingers on a device."

While players work through each level, the game assesses 20 skills behind the scenes, including self-awareness, resilience, empathy, the ability to listen and to manage emotions, among others. From time to time, game characters even encourage players to put down the game and try out their skills in the real world.

IF… looks like your typical colorful adventure title, with players dropp! ed into the imaginary village of Greenberry and given the choice of playing as a dog or cat. But in this particular world, something isn't right. The village is a mess and everyone's fighting. Hawkins likens it to the scenes in It's a Wonderful Life in which Jimmy Stewart sees what his hometown would be like if he'd never been born.

"We start out with the town being trashed," he says. It's up to players to set things right.

Trash actually plays a role in the game — players are encouraged to pick up trash in the game world, something Hawkins has done, with little fanfare, for years in real life. As an illustration of how small acts can have big effects, he recalls that at a recent presentation at his daughter's school, she surprised him by telling the crowd how her dad picks up trash, even though he'd never called attention to it or asked his kids to follow his lead. She loved the idea, she told the crowd, and had started doing it herself.

Hawkins actually gets a little emotional in the retelling, saying, "I had never heard that — and here it was radiating out to this group. It's one of those things where you realize that every little bit you can do makes a difference and creates these ripple effects that are much bigger, and possibly more profound, than you had imagined."

If You Can website: http://www.ifyoucan.org

Saturday, March 7, 2015

SEC's Aguilar frustrated at pace of Reg D protections

reg d, investors, investor protection, luis Aguilar, securities and exchange commission, SEC Bloomberg News

Expressing disappointment that action hasn't come more quickly, Securities and Exchange Commission member Luis Aguilar Thursday called on the SEC to move ahead on a proposal to strengthen rules surrounding sales of unregistered securities.

In July, when the SEC voted to give hedge funds, private-equity funds and issuers of private offerings the go-ahead to begin advertising to the public, an accompanying proposal was introduced that would bolster disclosure related to the private investments.

The solicitation ban was lifted in late September, but in a speech in Washington Thursday, Mr. Aguilar said that he is frustrated that the SEC hasn't yet acted on the additional safeguards.

“Unfortunately, it's been almost five months since those proposals have been issued for comment,” he said at a Consumer Federation of America conference in Washington. “I can assure you, you're not going to see these anytime in the next month or two.”

The amendments to Rule 506 would require issuers to divulge more information about the offerings, their advertising and their investors on their Form D filings. The changes also would mandate that the Form D be submitted 15 days before solicitation begins.

“Every day that these proposals are not adopted is another day that investors face great harm,” Mr. Aguilar said. “I'm frustrated because investors are going to be damaged.”

The Consumer Federation of American, state securities regulators and other groups criticized the SEC for lifting the ban on general solicitation without including more investor protections. The SEC kept in place requirements that investors in private investments meet net-worth and income minimums.

The SEC advertising rule implemented a provision of a law that eases securities registration for startup companies. Proponents of the measure said that it would facilitate the flow of capital to small business and help create jobs.

Its backers, including Capitol Hill Republicans, have warned the SEC not to implement the additional changes to private offerings, arguing that they undermine the intent of the law. The SEC split, 3-2, on the vote on whether to propose the amendments to Rule 506.

In an Oct. 18 speech to the Managed Funds Association in New York, SEC Chairman Mary Jo White said the agency should “move expeditiously toward adoption” of the proposal after it has reviewed the more than 450 comment letters it has received. She hasn't said when the commission will act.

Although he is urging action, Mr. Aguilar emphasized that he is one of only five SEC members, and that Ms. White sets the commission's priorities.

“When she puts it on the agenda, I'l! l be the first to say, 'You're late. It's about time,'” he said.